Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.038751 0.043931 0.049688 0.056586 0.064658 0.073847 0.085152
2024-10-27 0.029880 0.036506 0.044564 0.055190 0.068987 0.086506 0.110778
2024-11-03 0.025945 0.033371 0.042990 0.056575 0.075615 0.101886 0.141841
2024-11-10 0.023271 0.031170 0.041926 0.057988 0.081973 0.117484 0.176075
2024-11-17 0.020822 0.028818 0.040161 0.057899 0.085840 0.129799 0.207731
2024-11-24 0.018661 0.026546 0.038123 0.056956 0.088033 0.139620 0.237204
2024-12-01 0.017214 0.025121 0.037109 0.057354 0.092285 0.153383 0.276674
2024-12-08 0.015921 0.023767 0.036009 0.057395 0.095831 0.166413 0.317843
2024-12-15 0.014899 0.022717 0.035250 0.057856 0.100112 0.181475 0.366988
2024-12-22 0.013508 0.020935 0.033093 0.055579 0.098932 0.185635 0.393363
2024-12-29 0.013130 0.020776 0.033632 0.058193 0.107500 0.211185 0.476747
2025-01-05 0.012013 0.019270 0.031691 0.055938 0.105960 0.214811 0.506832
2025-01-12 0.011141 0.018174 0.030476 0.055142 0.107792 0.227440 0.568161
2025-01-19 0.010252 0.016985 0.029000 0.053701 0.108144 0.237085 0.626169
2025-01-26 0.009824 0.016573 0.028910 0.055038 0.114901 0.264029 0.747772
2025-02-02 0.009437 0.016199 0.028843 0.056405 0.121984 0.293745 0.893278
2025-02-09 0.008923 0.015539 0.028151 0.056318 0.125541 0.314895 1.020181
2025-02-16 0.008371 0.014762 0.027148 0.055406 0.126862 0.330063 1.133045
2025-02-23 0.007999 0.014300 0.026738 0.055791 0.131638 0.357007 1.310472
2025-03-02 0.007625 0.013805 0.026211 0.055831 0.135503 0.382322 1.497963
2025-03-09 0.007317 0.013417 0.025872 0.056277 0.140608 0.413415 1.736083
2025-03-16 0.006812 0.012592 0.024524 0.054074 0.137684 0.415977 1.830130
2025-03-23 0.006725 0.012618 0.025030 0.056603 0.149339 0.475147 2.288474